Comments or questions? [email protected]

How to use the data available in the website is entirely up to you.

I can recommend following a system and keeping track of what works and what doesnt. It is important to be able to adapt quickly and understand that football betting is a game of chance and no outcome is 100% guaranteed.

When time permit, I will add possible ways one may use the data presented in the website to make inferences and predictions.

Beating the Closing Odds

Statistical models tweaked to the idiosyncrasies of football betting can be very accurate in predicting the probabilities of match outcomes. But building and implementing these models, specially to such a large number of matches per day is not an easy task. We have designed and built a robust system that applies these models matches day in and day out.

So how can these models help me? Beating the Closing Odds

Combining the Odds Movements and Predictive Models sections you can quickly (quicker than most of the gambling collective) exploit any inefficiencies in the current odds of a match. Here is a recent example in action:

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Notice how the Opening Odds hovered around 1.79, while our model predicted closing odds of 1.66. As the week progressed the odds began to drop, accelerating towards 1.65 as the start of the match got closer and closer. A careful research into other variables and statistics that appear in the match page indicated that the drop in odds towards 1.66 was within reason. The match ended 1-0 in favor of the home team.

This is just one example of how to incorporate the overwhelming amount of information presented in poisonfoot.com. If you have any questions or comments feel free to contact me at [email protected]